Economy

ECB Holds Rates

&amp;NewLine;<p>Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa &amp;comma; the President of the Portuguese Republic&amp;comma; believes that the decision of the European Central Bank &amp;lpar;ECB&amp;rpar; to maintain&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;interest rates is not good news&amp;comma; although&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;expected&amp;period; He considers that the real reason for this expectation is linked to the&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;interest rates. <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;vivreauportugalconsulting&period;com&sol;election-portugal-fait-voter-les-fantomes&sol;" data-type&equals;"post" data-id&equals;"8559">elections&amp;period;<&sol;a><&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">ECB Holds Rates "Not Good News" Reveals Marcelo's "True Reason<&sol;h2>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>"It&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;s expected news but not good news&amp;period; Although the reason given is linked to&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;inflation in certain countries in Europe&amp;comma; I think the real reason is something else &amp;colon; it&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;s concern about the American and European elections&amp;comma; with their consequences on the war and&amp;comma; consequently&amp;comma; the weight this may have on the economic situation throughout 2024&amp;period; Hence the&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;wait for three more months"&amp;comma; said Marcelo&amp;comma; during an intervention broadcast by RTP3&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>Analysts consulted by Lusa believe that the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve will coordinate an interest rate cut in June&amp;comma; emphasizing the pace of the cut&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<figure class&equals;"wp-block-image size-full"><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;vivreauportugalconsulting&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2024&sol;03&sol;bce&period;jpg" alt&equals;"bce&comma; marcelo" class&equals;"wp-image-11882"&sol;><&sol;figure>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>After years of historically low interest rates&amp;comma; the US Federal Reserve took the lead over the European Central Bank in the fight against&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;inflation&amp;period; In March 2022&amp;comma; it began the end of the&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;era of cheap&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;cheap money by raising rates for the first time since 2018&amp;comma; by 25 basis points&amp;period; The ECB didn&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;t raise rates until July 2022&amp;comma; for the first time in 11 years&amp;comma; with an increase of 50 basis points&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading">Analysts predict ECB and Fed rate cuts in June<&sol;h3>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>Analysts consulted by <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;lusa&period;pt&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank" rel&equals;"noreferrer noopener">Lusa <&sol;a>believe that the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve will act in concert to cut interest rates in June&amp;comma; emphasizing the pace of the cut&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>The difference in timing has led to criticism of the European Central Bank's "slowness" to act&amp;comma; but the two central banks could now be aligned for the first adjustment&amp;comma; according to market expectations&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>The European Central Bank and the Fed&amp;comma; who kept interest rates unchanged at recent meetings&amp;comma; are assessing whether&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;inflation is sufficiently under control to start cutting rates&amp;period; This would make borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses&amp;comma; encouraging them to take out loans&amp;comma; spend and invest&amp;comma; thus avoiding an economic slowdown that could&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;lead to higher unemployment&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>As expected&amp;comma; the ECB on Thursday kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth time in a row&amp;period; The president of the&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;institution&amp;comma; Christine Lagarde&amp;comma; said at a&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;a press conference that the central bank was making "good progress" in bringing inflation back to the 2 per cent target&amp;comma; but that it had not yet succeeded&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>The ECB has revised downwards the average inflation forecast for the eurozone to 2&amp;percnt; in 2025&amp;comma; bringing the expected inflation for next year in line with the central bank&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;s price stability objective&amp;comma; forecasting a rate of 2&amp;comma;3&amp;percnt; in 2024&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;&amp;NewLine;<p>Lagarde's statements created market expectations about the timing of a rate cut&amp;comma; stating that economic data would dictate the bank's next step and that&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;in April&amp;comma; she would have "a little" more&amp;rsquo&amp;semi;information and "a lot more in June"&amp;period;<&sol;p>&amp;NewLine;

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